Super Bowl Prop Picks

While everyone is gearing up to do their Super Bowl betting, it is time for some proposition picks. The Indianapolis Colts and the New Orleans Saints are expected to put up some big numbers, and that will have a big effect on betting lines and payouts. That being said there are some interesting prop bets to be taken advantage of.

Shockey vs Clark – Who will have more pass reception yards

Those looking for head-to-head Saints Colts betting will like this matchup. Jeremy Shockey and Dallas Clark are big time threats and integral parts in the New Orleans Saints and Indianapolis Colts offensive schemes. Shockey, while limited this post season by a nagging knee injury, will no doubt be in the line-up and putting himself on the line. He was on the sideline while his New York Giants won Super Bowl XLII after suffering an injury so you can bet he will not sit out another one. Finishing the season with 48 receptions and 569 yards he is a long-shot to outgain Clark. The Colts tight-end amassed 100 receptions for 1,106 yards and while slowed in his last game against the New York Jets, he should rebound against the much weaker Saints defence. In his two post season games this year Clark caught 11 passes and 94 yards, while below his average of over six receptions and nearly 70 a game it still better then Shockey’s four snags for 45 yards in the past two contests.

Pick: Dallas Clark

Total gross passing yards by Manning

In his two playoff games this season, Peyton Manning is averaging 311.5 yards a game including 377 yards against the top ranked Jets defence. In the regular season he threw for over 299 yards 10 different times and realistically did it over 14 weeks since he did not play complete games in the last two weeks. In a game against a notorious shoot out style team, in the Saints, the Colts quarterback should easily rack up big numbers again. New Orleans gave up 266 yards to a Kurt Warner/Matt Leinart combination and 310 to Brett Favre led offences that finished well back of the Colts. While thinking Manning will explode for 400 yards is not an obscene estimate, he put up 458 against Denver in the 2005 playoffs and has eight career games of over 400, it is highly unlikely.

Pick: 320+ yards

Touchdown passes by Brees

Drew Brees has been on fire this post season, averaging three touchdowns a game and should be looked upon as set to do it again. Even in the conference final against Minnesota when held to just 197 passing yards, he was able to find the end-zone. During the regular season, he threw for three or more touchdowns six different times and going up against a 14th ranked Indy pass defence, he should add another big number. In four of his five career playoff games Brees has thrown for two or more touchdowns, and while the Colts have only allowed two passing scores, their two games were against the 16th and 29th ranked teams in passing touchdowns. This game is pegged to be a shootout, that means touchdowns and with 34 of the Saints total 55 regular season touchdowns coming through the air, it is a good sports betting tip that the trend will continue.

Pick: 3+ Passing TD’s

Total Receptions by Reggie Wayne

Coming off a game that he was held to just three receptions, the experts at US Sportsbook Reviews know that Reggie Wayne will be looking to explode in the Super Bowl. Hauling in 100 receptions over the regular season and a playoff average of 5.1 receptions in 15 career playoff games, most of which as a second option behind Marvin Harrison, it is highly unlikely that he will put up two bad games in a row. Jabari Greer and Tracy Porter are not in the same calibre of cornerback as Darrelle Revis which points to Wayne having an easier time getting open and with a quarterback like Manning he will be found if open.  This all points to Wayne putting up numbers closer to his regular season average of six receptions a game.

Pick: 7+ receptions

Did you like this? If so, please bookmark it,
tell a friend
about it, and subscribe to the blog RSS feed.
January 29, 2010 · Posted in Football, Sports, Sports Odds  
    

Comments

Leave a Reply