As the regular season winds down in college basketball this year, there are a few key matchups that will decide conference titles as well as seeding for conference tournaments coming up. Most importantly, we will get to see which teams will be contenders and which will be pretenders when the NCAA tournament starts. This Saturday the top two teams in the SEC square off with the regular season crown up for grabs.
Kentucky Wildcats (25-1, 10-1 1st in SEC) @ Vanderbilt Commodores (20-5, 9-2 2nd in SEC)
Bookmaker Review: (*note lines are approximations as lines have not been posted at the time of writing)
Spread: Kentucky -2
Total: 141
Money Line: Kentucky -140, Vanderbilt +115
Why Kentucky will win
The Wildcats have shown extreme resilience this season when faced with a challenge. Winning in every way imaginable and losing only once all season, Kentucky has become one of the favorites for the NCAA title. PG John Wall has emerged from the pack of players and is the likely number one pick in this year’s NBA Draft. Wall is averaging 17 points, 4 rebounds and 6.5 assists a game for the SEC leading Wildcats. His speed, athleticism and finishing ability is far and above that of guards in the college game this year. Wall often finds a welcome home to his slick passes in the hands of fellow Freshman DeMarcus Cousins. Cousins is a 6-10 man-child with post moves and a nose for the basketball averaging over 16 points and 10 rebounds a game. Rounding out the talented crew is G Eric Bledsoe, another solid guard with speed and scoring ability (10 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists a game) and junior F Patrick Patterson (14.8 points, 7.4 rebounds per game). First year Coach John Calipari will try to take his third team to the final four and has the most stacked, talent-wise, roster in NCAA hoops this year.
Why Vanderbilt will win
The Commodores have not lost a home game since early December, and that was a tournament game in early December that wasn’t on their home court. Led by senior guard Jermaine Beal and junior center A.J. Ogilvy, the Commodores have beaten all of the competition in the SEC this season save for one team, the Kentucky Wildcats. Vanderbilt has some legitimate talent in their young players with sophomore G/F Jeffery Taylor having four 20+ point efforts and freshman G John Jenkins has shot 45% from three point land this year while averaging over 10 points a game. The Commodores will have their best shot at revenge for a loss at Kentucky last month Saturday night in front of the Commodore faithful.
Prediction
This is a key game to keep an eye on for a couple of reasons. First of all, it is important to see how the young Wildcats can handle a hostile environment late in the year. Secondly, if Vanderbilt is for real this season, they will have to either win this game or knock off Kentucky in the SEC tournament.
Sports betting tip: This looks like a team that can win a couple of the games in the tournament, but not much more. A good showing against Kentucky is the only thing that can change my opinion. Kentucky will show Vanderbilt why they are the class of the SEC in this game as Vanderbilt will fall to the Wildcats in a close one.
Final: Kentucky 76 – Vanderbilt 72. Take Kentucky and the over.